Gold Surges with Geopolitical Crises and Economic Uncertainty
Geopolitical events in India, China, and the Middle East can have a notable impact on the gold market. These regions view gold as a store of value and a significant part of their cultural heritage. This sentiment has contributed to the strong and sustained demand for gold over time. Any geopolitical instability in these regions can further drive this demand, as people tend to seek gold as a secure investment in times of uncertainty. The gold market surges with geopolitical crises as these events develop.
In 2024, significant geopolitical crises have emerged in the Middle East, having a global impact on other countries. Additionally, the issues between the US and China have increased market risks, leading to higher demand for safe-haven assets. As a result, the gold market has seen a dramatic increase, reaching record highs. Moreover, the first interest rate cut during Biden’s presidency has put selling pressure on the USD, causing the EUR/USD to rise from a long-term breakout region. Additionally, the USD/CHF is trading along a long-term downward trend, and a breakdown from this region could initiate another strong drop in the USD and an increase in CHF due to safe-haven demand. All these factors have contributed to the rise in gold prices.
Understanding the Gold Surge
From a technical perspective, the daily chart below shows that the gold market remains within a strong bullish trend and continues to surge higher. The rising channel in the daily chart illustrates that gold prices have formed a strong bullish price action, with a double-bottom pattern before surging higher. Each double-bottom formation has induced bullish pressure, confirming that strong fundamentals in the gold market propel prices higher. Currently, gold is moving toward the primary target of $3,000, where prices are likely to consolidate.
The daily chart below further supports the above discussion. It shows that prices are on their way to hitting the resistance area, which is calculated to be between $2,700 and $2,800 and marked by the ascending broadening wedge pattern. The momentum in the gold market over the past few days indicates that prices remain in surge mode.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the gold market has experienced significant growth driven by geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties stemming from the U.S. and China. This increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has pushed prices to record highs. Technically, the market remains in a strong bullish trend, with patterns such as the double-bottom formation and ascending broadening wedge indicating continued upward momentum. With prices approaching key resistance levels between $2,700 and $2,800, and a potential target of $3,000, the gold market appears set for further growth, though some consolidation may occur at these higher levels. However, as gold approaches $2700, short-term corrections might develop at any time.
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